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SYNDICATED LOAN MARKET CRUSHED

Miners finding financing difficult

Miners are finding it harder and harder to finance their operations because the syndicated loans market has been crushed by the credit crunch.

Author: Douwe Miedema and Tessa Walsh
Posted:  Wednesday , 01 Oct 2008

LONDON (Reuters)  - 

The credit crunch is threatening mergers even in resilient sectors such as mining, with fears about loan refinancing forcing Xstrata Plc to drop its $10 billion bid for Lonmin Plc on Wednesday.

Tough loan markets also make the financing harder of the few lucrative M&A deals bankers are still working on, such as BHP Billiton Ltd's hostile bid of more than $100 billion for Rio Tinto.

The syndicated loan market, the primary source of funds for mergers and acquisitions, has all but dried up as it is becoming harder for banks to sell loans due to spiralling funding costs while the number of lenders shrinks.

"It will be difficult to accommodate new deals. Looking forward, we don't have any real expectations for this to pick up. Volumes will remain low for 2008 and for most of 2009," a credit analyst at a large bank said, asking not to be named.

"There is a lot of stuff coming due (in the loan market) and there is pressure on a market that is fairly at maximum already and very in-elastic," he said.

Xstrata had secured $15 billion of loan financing to buy Lonmin, but decided to cancel the deal as it was worried about refinancing the package in the next 12 months.

Big M&A loans typically have a large short-term component that needs to be refinanced in the bond market.

A hoard of large M&A loans mature in the next 12 months, which will force companies to hit bond markets just as spreads on debt have exploded and default fears spook markets.

But others said Xstrata might be using the seizing up of the loan market as a pretext to pull the deal.

"Xstrata's own view of the target price is coming down. I think they're using the financing markets as a tool to hammer the other side," a head of loan syndicate said, requesting anonymity because of dealings with clients.

Xstrata scooped up Lonmin shares as they fell on the news, effectively blocking any rival deal and setting the scene for another takeover attempt later.

DEAL DEARTH

Global M&A activity dropped 25 percent in the first nine months of the year, Thomson Reuters data showed this week, as companies are finding it hard to assess the value of acquisition targets and the market for leveraged buy-outs remains shut.

Ironically, spectacular bank bail-outs are now a major source of income for investment banks and the rescue of AIG and Bank of America's deal with Merrill Lynch have boosted a dwindling fee pool.

Other than that, bankers rely heavily on deals in resilient sectors such as energy and power, consumer staples, materials and healthcare, the data showed -- but as Xstrata showed a tight loan market might stem even those.

"They would be locking in funding costs that would haunt them for a long time," the syndicate banker said.

"It's bad enough paying over the odds for loan financing but you're also looking at a floating rate instrument (bond) with the most inopportune pricing," he said.

OTHERS QUESTIONED

Hostile loan and bond market conditions continue to challenge a $55 billion loan backing BHP Billiton's planned acquisition of Rio Tinto, the biggest ever loan to be underwritten in Europe.

The deal is an all-share one, but BHP Billiton needs the extra financing because of its large debt pile and a planned share buy-back. BHP's loan is on hold until at least January although the facility will need to be repriced in light of further market deterioration, market sources said.

BHP Billiton said it was not concerned about the financing.

Other deals though have suddenly been ditched.

Montagu Private Equity this week dropped plans to sell bandage maker BSN Medical, and a private equity consortium walked away from a 1.9 billion pound ($3.39 billion) bid for British media company Informa.

Doubts have also started to dog Roche's $43.7 billion bid for the rest of Genentech it does not already own, with shares in the Californian biotech company now below the offer price.

Genentech has traded at a big premium to Roche's $89-a-share offer since the Swiss drugmaker unveiled its unsolicited bid in July. But recent funding fears have stoked uncertainty and raised doubts about the scope for a sweetened offer.

"When Roche proposed the deal, the cost of borrowing was not where it is now," said David Heupel, a portfolio manager at Thrivent Financial for Lutherans, which oversees $60 billion.

Roche has said it remains committed to a deal, but worsening loan markets are forcing it to work harder to get its money.

"Roche is still building a loan book, its been going on the financing side for a while now. I think the phone calls are going wider and its no longer just relationship banks that are getting the call," a second head of loan syndicate said.

(Additional reporting by Ben Hirschler; editing by Elaine Hardcastle)


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